Intrinsic Valuation I.

Introduction to Stock Valuation

Intrinsic valuation asks a simple question with a complex answer: What is this company truly worth? 

It’s not about market hype — it’s about fundamental financial factors. Profits, growth, balance sheet, cash flow, and risk all feed into the estimate. 

We'll revisit Daniel, who's honing his skills as an investor. He had some early losses and wins in the market, and now he’s looking beyond short-term gains. 

He wants to understand a company's real potential; not just what others are willing to pay.

What is Discounted Cash Flow?

The discounted cash flow (DCF) method estimates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting future free cash flows and discounting them to today’s terms. 

It’s built on the idea that a business is worth the cash it can generate, not the buzz it creates, adjusted for time, risk, and opportunity cost. 

DCF focuses on fundamentals like earnings and growth, not market sentiment. 

It’s a powerful tool for long-term investors seeking logic-driven valuations rooted in financial performance.

Key Financial Statements for Valuation

Valuation relies on financial statements: the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. 

• Income statement: Shows revenues, expenses, and profits over a period.
• Balance sheet: Provides a snapshot of assets, liabilities, and equity at a specific point in time.
• Cash flow statement: Details cash inflows and outflows from operating, investing, and financing activities.

Together, these statements provide the data to assess a company's financial health and project future performance.

Connecting Financials to DCF

Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis relies on financial statements to project future free cash flows.

• The income statement helps forecast revenue, net income and expenses.
• The balance sheet tracks working capital needs
• The cash flow statement tracks cash flows from operations, investing (including capital expenditures), and financing.

By integrating all three, investors build financial models that estimate future cash generation — the foundation of intrinsic valuation.