Next Fed Chair

1/30/2026

Next Fed Chair

Warsh to Take Over the Fed

US President Donald Trump has named Kevin Warsh, 55, as the next Federal Reserve chair. The eagerly awaited decision is crucial to the US and global economy.

Kevin Warsh is a former Fed governor who helped manage the 2008 financial crisis and later became one of the central bank’s sharpest critics. He has also worked as an aide to President George W. Bush.

After months of public auditions and TV hits, the president announced Warsh’s selection on social media, calling him “central casting.” The nomination still requires Senate approval. The current chair, Jerome Powell, is due to step down in May.

Warsh’s Stance on Monetary Policy

Warsh built his reputation at the Fed as an inflation hawk, someone more worried about prices rising than growth slowing. He opposed the Fed’s huge bond‑buying programs, arguing they would sow the seeds of future inflation and bloat the Fed’s balance sheet.

He’s now trying to fit these views with the White House push for lower rates. He’s suggested:

  • Rate cuts to boost growth
  • A smaller Fed balance sheet and less market intervention
  • Looser bank rules

In short, he wants cheaper money, but a smaller and more focused Fed.

Next Fed Chair

What Changes When Warsh Replaces Powell

Earlier this week, the Fed kept its benchmark rate unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% after three cuts in 2025. President Trump and his economic advisors have pushed publicly for faster rate cuts.

Warsh has recently sided with the White House, saying that the Fed underestimated how new tech — especially AI — can boost productivity and tame inflation. He has argued that rates could be cut more aggressively without overheating prices. But investors are waiting to see how much of this was “job interview” talk vs. his real views.

The chair has to work together with the other Fed board of governors. Jerome Powell may choose to stay on as a board member, as his 14-year term lasts until January 2028.

Central Bank Independence Under Pressure

The Fed is powerful because investors believe it is independent from day‑to‑day politics — a trust that keeps long‑term borrowing costs lower. The Department of Justice has opened a criminal investigation into Chair Powell, and the White House is embroiled in a legal battle to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook.

In 2010, Warsh gave a speech titled “An Ode to Independence,” warning that governments would always be tempted to lean on the Fed to finance deficits. He called for “fierce independence from the whims of Washington and the wants of Wall Street.”

But he’s recently softened his tone, saying in an interview last summer that while policy independence is important “that doesn’t mean Fed is independent in everything else it does.”

One Job, Global Ripple Effects

The chairmanship of the Fed is often considered the most powerful job in the global economy. Together with other members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed chair makes decisions on interest rates and money supply.

These decisions shape:

  • Your costs: mortgages, car loans, credit cards
  • Asset prices: stocks, bonds, currencies, and housing
  • Global money flows: other central banks often shadow the Fed, and many currencies are pegged or at least loosely linked to the dollar

If investors believe Warsh will keep inflation in check and resist political pressure, global borrowing costs can stay relatively low and markets calmer.

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